Tag Archives: Stavka

Diary Blog, 23 September 2022

Morning music

[Nikolai II, with the Tsaritsa Alexandra, their children, and attendants]

On this day a year ago

Mini-budget of Kwasi Kwarteng and Liz Truss

https://news.sky.com/video/pound-plummets-after-mini-budget-12703855

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/09/23/mini-budget-stamp-duty-tax-cuts-ni-truss-kwarteng-ftse-100/

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2022/sep/23/kwasi-kwarteng-mini-budget-key-points-at-a-glance

Aubrey Allegretti, political correspondent: Kwarteng starts by pinning the blame for inflation and spiralling energy bills directly on Putin.

[The Guardian]

Well, after all, it could not be the fault of the Boris-idiot government, which all but shut down the UK economy for 2 years for no good reason, while doling out free money like a drunken sailor…oh, wait a minute…

Aubrey Allegretti: Kwarteng seeks to turn the last 12 years of Conservative economic wisdom on its head and present the government as new and radical – rather than hanging on the coattails of the last one.

He lays out his central point that “growth is not as high as it should be”, arguing this only leads to less money to fund public services, relying on higher taxes, and so on.

“We need a new approach for a new era” should be seen as nothing less than a bid to reinvent the Conservatives and present them as a party of change – to avoid being blamed for the mistakes of the past. (Despite, of course, Truss having served in the previous three Conservative governments.)

[The Guardian].

This mini-budget is completely mad. The result can only be roaring inflation, higher interest rates for businesses and mortgage-payers, and before very long a huge spike in house-repossessions as people default on the mortgage commitments taken out in easier times.

Reducing tax for those earning over £140,000 —about 3x or 4x the average pay? That is just ridiculous and will be applied to purchase of hedging assets (including paying off any mortgage commitments such higher-earners may have).

Stimulation of the economy requires more money at the bottom end, where people are almost compelled by circumstances to spend on goods and services, not at the top end of the income scale.

Today, the pound sterling is down, as I write, by about 2%. Interest rates for UK government borrowing are rising steeply.

A budget of this sort does nothing for the poor (however defined), nothing for the bulk of the population, and only helps those already affluent or wealthy.

Indeed, it might be said that the “middle ranks”, meaning people without much capital, working for a modest living, paying off a mortgage, paying for children and a household, will be hit very hard.

If only there were an existing, tightly-controlled, social-national party, —even if small— and with credible policies and people. One does not exist. Somewhere soon down the road might come a “1929” moment. That was what started the NSDAP and Hitler on its path to glory (ultimately, tragic glory, but that is another question).

[“At the end stands Victory!“]
[Germany 1945— “We are fighting for the future of our children“]

Hilary Mantel

The authoress, Hilary Mantel, has died.

I was struck by this, seen on her Wikipedia entry:

In an 2013 interview with the Telegraph, Mantel stated: “I think that nowadays the Catholic Church is not an institution for respectable people.”[5] She continued in the interview to say: “When I was a child I wondered why priests and nuns were not nicer people. I thought that they were amongst the worst people I knew.” These statements, as well as the themes explored in her earlier novel Fludd, led some to question her work in Wolf Hall, with Bishop Mark O’Toole noting: “There is an anti-Catholic thread there, there is no doubt about it. Wolf Hall is not neutral.”[46].”

[Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hilary_Mantel].

I myself had no contact with Roman Catholicism as a child. Indeed, I do not think that I even knew any Roman Catholics until I was in my early 20s. All the same, the few impressions that I had then were not favourable, as when I was in Ireland aged about 21 and had left Tralee station to walk or hitch-hike to the mountains. A small car approached, the first one since Tralee. I stuck out my thumb, only for the miserable-looking bastards on board, a thin, rat-faced and bespectacled Catholic priest, and a thoroughly nasty-looking nun (who was driving), to pass me without even a glance.

After a week or so in the sea-mountains, I returned the same way. Again, a car approached. The same car. The same occupants. I thought that this time they would stop, having seen me the previous week. No. Straight on past, not sparing me a look.

Miserable bastards, whom I hope met a miserable end.

Incidentally, I did get a lift eventually, in both directions; on the journey out, from an attractive dark-haired young Irishwoman who would not accept a chocolate from me because it was Lent.

The years spin past ever-quicker. That was in early 1979, all of 43 years ago now.

Tweets seen

Re. Therese Coffey, my assessment of her from three years ago (it includes updates) has always had a lot of hits, and that continues every day: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/09/16/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-therese-coffey-story/.

More tweets seen

Exactly. Both above tweets are right. The income point however leaves out the main difference between the few and the many, the capital held by each group.

The average Joe has no, or virtually no, capital. In fact, if you leave aside any equity value in residential property owned (usually just one dwelling, and Average Joe himself lives in it), most British people really only have a tiny amount of capital, a few thousand pounds, or even just a few hundred.

The wealthy few however, are often not at all dependent on income as such, certainly not income from any ordinary job. Their capital, invested in real property, or shares etc, is the key to their wealth. Careful investment and accountancy can mean that Average Millionaire/Billionaire Joe has almost no taxable income at all, while in any given year, his capital might have increased by 20%, 50%, even 1,000%.

The wealthiest of all have seen their capital increase hugely since the last financial crash in 2008; The Elon Musks (from about USD $2 billion to about USD $277 billion— in just one decade), the Jeff Bezos’s etc.

People like that laugh at the very idea of income tax. It is simply irrelevant to most of them. Look at the Duke of Westminster, small compared to the mega-billionaires, but still worth £10 billion -£20 billion. Then compare that to the Average Joe, who might (or might not) own, even including his house equity, maybe £200,000 or so. £1 for every £10,000 owned by the Duke of Westminster, and maybe £1 for every £150,000 owned by Elon Musk.

I myself had a great many problems with HMRC long ago. Partly but not entirely self-inflicted, and all now (long ago, over a decade ago) resolved to my satisfaction. I never ever encountered a bureaucracy as shambolic (as well as, in some cases, unpleasant) as HMRC. Not in Eastern Europe, not in the former Soviet Union, not in the USA (which came close, at times).

Look at them: Charles, Anne, Edward, Andrew, Harry (formerly known as “Prince”), William. Are any of them beyond mediocre in intellect, character, or in any way other than unearned and unmerited wealth? Most of them do not even pay taxes.

Meanwhile, Kelvin McKenzie, formerly of the Sun “newspaper”, exposes his ignorance once again:

McKenzie seems unaware that there is more to tax than income tax and inheritance tax. To give the obvious example (obvious at least to anyone better-informed than McKenzie), everyone pays VAT, a tax which is a major contributor to State funds, and is paid disproportionately by the poorer part of the population.

I have to admit that I have little interest in the minutiae of it all, but from the ruthless, Ayn Rand, callous self-interest point of view, the Mulatta has, as they say, “played a blinder”.

Putin’s decision to invade, as such, was not a mistake, but the decision to invade without proper preparation, without a proper plan, without having eliminated Zelensky, and with no proper logistics in place, was more than a mistake. It was criminally negligent. The GRU and General Staff should be purged, cut to the bone. Start again, as Stalin did.

It could have been done swiftly, with minimal hurt and damage.

Where can I get one of those? Or both.

True, but remember how Blair, and Brown in particular, worshipped the banking “industry” (sometimes useful but basically parasitic service industry).

More thoughts about the “mini-Budget”

Seems that “the markets” are dropping like a stone.

I mean, a simple-minded, almost cretinous Budget, announced by a woolly-headed n****r posing as Chancellor of the Exchequer; then we have a semi-educated half-caste with a “degree” in Hospitality Management posing as Foreign Secretary, and a stupid and ridiculous woman (who only became an MP on her back), actually posing as Prime Minister….what could possibly go wrong?

Jesus Christ! Is that stupid lot the best “the great Conservative Party” (in the words of Disraeli, his sentence ending “which destroys everything“…) can do? And is that hopelessly banal package of economic measures the summation of their thoughts?

Late tweets seen

Pity. I do not like the Gulf Arab “states”.

Liz Truss. The latest clown to pose as Prime Minister of the UK.

…the key words being “in a supposed liberal democracy“…

There is a way to deal with these people, with these evils; only one way, really…

The Jew-Zionists are behind much of the attack on free speech. About 90% of it.

I remember when, in the 1980s, a load of caravan-dwelling “travellers” decided to camp on Hampstead Heath, near the opulent house of “socialist” humbug Michael Foot. Suddenly, the great champion of the “rights” of the Gypsies and “travellers” (Irish tinkers) was against them camping near his house…

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Foot]

Foot was a hypocrite of the first order; I could not stand the bastard.

Late music

[Levitan, [Over Eternal Peace]

Diary Blog, 16 September 2022, including thoughts about what happens once the funeral of the late Queen is over

Morning music

[Marble Bridge, Tsarskoe Selo, nr. St. Petersburg, Russia]

On this day a year ago

On the blog 5 years ago

Overkill

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11216931/JANET-STREET-PORTER-royals-dont-want-Britain-shut-Queen.html

I agree, for once, with Janet Street-Porter. The whole thing has been overdone. Instead of a quiet, dignified series of events, a mass circus in which good taste and real respect has been —partly at least— left behind.

Tweets seen today

At last the Russian high command is starting to think truly tactically, meaning in this case obliquely.

It will be recalled that the Iraqi Army flooded large areas at one time, in the 1980s and later, both when fighting Iran and when fighting the “Allied forces” (USA, mainly).

I made that point a few days ago on the blog, citing the dictum of Clausewitz about how the ratio “moral” or morale vis a vis the “material” is 3:1.

We tend to forget that, though the southeastern part of Ukraine is a war zone, that does not mean that all areas suffer continuous fighting. Far from it. The Ukraine is about 3x the size of the UK, and nearly 5x the size of England. The southeastern parts known as the Donbass or Don Basin (Donetsk and Lugansk regions) are, together, about half the size of England.

From their foreign correspondents

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/sep/16/when-mourning-ends-reality-will-hit-hard-european-journalists-on-britains-mood

…the foreign media cover this long period of ceremonial mourning with less servility. Hardly any British media, for example, dared comment on King Charles III’s rude gesture of impatience during the acclamation.

[Stefanie Bolzen, in Die Welt]

 “...a new recession, heralded by galloping inflation – the real thief in the night for working-class people, has caught the government off guard, with a new PM who has everything to prove, having been elected by a small number of Conservative members.”

[Rafael de Miguel, in El Pais]

The risk is always that the UK ends up not as Global Britain but Little England. This, too, would have been a nightmare for the Queen.

[Antonello Guerrera, La Repubblica]

[Liz Truss]

Pound sliding, inflation stoking, and recession likely

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-62923994

Still think that closing down the economy for almost 2 years (because a virus was supposedly killing one out of every thousand people, mostly aged and/or with serious pre-existing health problems), and while doling out “free” money to individuals and companies via “furlough” payments, grants, “loans” etc, was a good policy? Think again.

A delusionary time, but what happens once the funeral of the late Queen has been held?

The death of the late Queen, and the consequent ritual arrangements and spectacles, is occupying the msm in the UK to an almost (?) unprecedented extent.

It may be that the Diana death hysteria of 1997, about which I have heard, and the Silver Jubilee of 1977, were similar; I cannot say, having been out of the UK when those two events occurred. In 1977, I was in Rhodesia, and in 1997 I was in Kazakhstan.

In fact, I only heard of the Diana incident 2-3 days after it happened, when I attended a regular Monday morning meeting at my office in Almaty, the then capital.

The British Embassy opened a book of condolence, and I was told by one of my Embassy contacts that, out of all the ~70 British residents (in the city) of which the Embassy was aware, I was the only one who had not signed (though not because I was hostile to Diana, but because of simple lack of interest).

My non-signing may have also been noted because, about 10 months previously, I had attended by invitation a royal reception at the Ambassador’s official Residence, where I had met and briefly chatted to Prince Charles, as he then was. Also, because I was at the Embassy quite often, at least a couple of times per week.

I have blogged in the past about how, on my return to London a few weeks later, friends told me about the collective psychosis (?) that had descended (on London at least), with pubs full of blubbing drinkers etc.

I am now thinking ahead to the day, or perhaps two or three days after the funeral of the late Queen (next Monday, 19 September 2022). What then?

We as a nation (insofar as Britain still is a nation) face huge economic problems, as well as ingrained social problems. The cloud of illusion all too obvious this week on TV, in the Press etc will blow away, and the country may come down to Earth with a very hard jolt.

The sentiment around the enormous queues going to see the late Queen’s coffin etc is somewhat illusory. The hundreds of thousands of people shuffling toward Westminster, or lining the Mall, are still only about 1% of the whole UK population. The vast majority, almost all in fact, seem to be English/British, i.e. white, and most (that I have seen in photos, on TV etc), are middle-aged or elderly.

This will all look very different in six months’ time.

Late tweets seen

It is not the function of the police to patrol our minds“.

Hitchens knows it, I know it, most other people —I hope— know it, but the police themselves do not seem to know it, and neither does the Jew-Zionist lobby (which exercises far too much influence over some police forces), as witness my own experiences: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2017/07/13/when-i-was-a-victim-of-a-malicious-zionist-complaint/; and https://ianrobertmillard.org/2022/01/15/diary-blog-15-january-2022-including-an-outline-of-the-failure-of-the-latest-jew-zionist-attempt-to-prosecute-me/.

[UK police hurrying to the scene of a possible “anti-Semitic trope”]

Late music

Diary Blog, 11 September 2022

Morning music

[Katyusha rockets, 1940s]

On this day a year ago

Tweets seen

Looking at the replies to the above tweet by unthinking and/or brainwashed persons supporting the Kiev-regime, one realizes how the two world wars started, meaning from the standpoint of public opinion.

The anti-Russia tweeters, many cheerleading for actual war with Russia, seem to be oblivious to what nuclear war would mean for them, for their families and companion animals, for their homes, their neighbourhoods, for their whole way of life (assuming that they themselves even survive).

Reading those stupid tweets, for me the clock or countdown to the destruction of our whole society in Europe (in Russia and the USA as well) just ticked on by a couple of minutes and is not far from striking the hour.

Having seen the supine populations of Europe, North America, Australasia comply with the perhaps-deliberately absurd demands of 2020-2021 —facemask nonsense, “rule of six” in the UK, “lockdown” (shutdown) etc—, and seeing how only a minority seem to understand that the present downturn is mainly because of the shutdown of economic activity 2020-2021, I am not optimistic. However, hunger and desperation may sharpen perceptions and lead to real upsurges.

That “@jimmysecuk” tweeter used to gossip with (other?) malicious Jews about me, when I still had a Twitter “account”, that is until a pack of Zionist Jews conspired to have me “suspended” (expelled) in 2018. Formerly connected (a student?) with Exeter University.

If I recall aright, “jimmysecuk” used to be quite plainly very pro-Israel on Twitter.

“@jimmysecuk” claimed, in recent years, to be a journalist, though there seems to be no evidence of that (always uses the pseudonym, and I have seen no published matter with that byline), and now claims to be “Kyiv [Kiev] -based independent foreign policy/security analyst“. What organization, newspaper etc actually uses whatever he may produce? Or is that a kind of hobby, funded by a private income? I have no idea.

In that event, further escalation will be almost inevitable. This is not 1942. Russia has weapons that it has not yet used and which, at peak, could actually reduce the entire Ukraine to an irradiated wasteland, which would, obviously, be a terrible thing for Europe and for the whole world as well as for Ukraine and, indeed, Russia itself.

Had the Russian General Staff and GRU not been criminally negligent, the invasion of Ukraine (certainly Ukraine east of the Dnieper, and also including both Kiev and Odessa) could have been accomplished swiftly, and with minimal loss of life.

The whole campaign has been both “bitty” and sluggish. The lack of a firm directing hand has been evident throughout.

Compare that to the Red Army and Stavka, under Stalin’s dictatorship, during the 1942-1945 period.

This could rapidly become an existential crisis not only for Putin and his regime but for the Russian state itself. Russia has to regain the initiative, or be defeated in the field.

Russian upheavals and revolutions have usually followed military defeat, as seen in, inter alia, 1905 and 1917.

Late thought

My feeling is that sometimes monarchy is the best system (for a particular country, at a particular time in history), whether “constitutional” or “absolute”.

At other times, monarchy is not the best system, but the alternative is not simply “a republic” because that designation covers everything from utter despotism to a system such as that pertaining in Switzerland.

As to the new King Charles III himself, and as readers of this blog may have read, I met him once, briefly, at a reception overseas, and we exchanged a few polite words.

My view, based on that but also and mainly on what I have heard and read over half a century or so: well-meaning, somewhat but not highly educated, self-absorbed and possibly peevish at times, someone with firm but not always nuanced views.

Example of that last, his views on architecture, which tend to the pastiche and simplistic, as seen both in his Poundbury development and in his support for slightly eclectic neo-classicism (as with Quinlan Terry). Not “wrong”, but just slightly trivial and derivative, in my view.

Monarchy in the UK has changed out of all recognition over the last few centuries. While the late Queen was alive, I  was willing to accept constitutional monarchy. Less so now, and not at all once the present King is succeeded by one of his children or any other.

Late music

[view of Oxford]

Diary Blog, 10 March 2022, with more about the bloody mess in Ukraine

Afternoon music

On this day a year ago

Ukraine

Had Russia managed to execute a Blitzkrieg lasting 2-3 days, taking Kiev, killing or capturing Zelensky, or at least driving him and his cabal to Lvov, and then almost simultaneously driving into Ukraine east of the Dnieper and along the Black Sea coast, this terrible humanitarian crisis would not have existed, certainly not on the present scale. There would not be the present war of attrition, would not have been the tragic and unpleasant loss and damage.

By supplying advanced weapons to the Kiev regime, the UK, USA, Poland, Germany, France are all just prolonging and making far worse this war, as it has now become.

Russia now has little choice but to wade through this ghastly mess to the bitter end. Now that the Ukrainian side (or Kiev regime side) has more, and more advanced, firepower, and is to be supplied with yet more, the Russian side will probably use wider, less targeted, and more brutal, weapons and tactics. It may even decide to replace much of the Ukrainian population, later, with Russian “colonists”, if any can be recruited.

If Putin’s forces withdraw from Ukraine, Ukraine will become a heavily-armed country, unsurprisingly also very hostile, whose borders will be (as now) only 300 miles from Moscow at the nearest point. The Kiev regime might even launch a missile attack, once it has the means, on Moscow itself.

That is why Russia will keep fighting.

As I have blogged previously, there is no doubt that, faced with the incredible (and to me, unexpected) incompetence of both the Russian General Staff (Stavka) and Army generally, and quite possibly that of the GRU, Stalin would have been shooting generals and heads of military intelligence by now.

As for “winning hearts and minds” etc, even Stalin’s brutal regime was far better at that than Putin and his supporters.

Because Russian commanders did not plan and execute a swift and relatively merciful seizure of power, a gigantic bloody mess has now been created. We read that as many as five million Ukrainians have left the country, something like 12% of the entire pre-invasion population.

As for Russia’s reputation in the wider world— trashed beyond repair, at least in the short-to-medium term.

It is true to say that, in the 1920s, 1930s, 1940s, Stalin’s brutalities were less on view in the West. There was far less information available, his regime was far more brutal, and rather more efficient, than Putin’s, and there were innumerable Soviet agents, “fellow-travellers”, and (to use Lenin’s phrase) “useful idiots” around in the West.

Most of Stalin’s atrocities (Collectivization, deportations of entire populations, the GULAG system etc) were concealed from view. Russian cultural influence (both Soviet and pre-Soviet) was unaffected in the West, and Sovietism, though far worse in its policies and their implementation than other regimes (notably National Socialist Germany), generally got “a better Press”. The Jew element had much to do with that, of course.

Now, it looks very much as if the Ukrainian cities will be subjected to something not far short of a scorched earth policy.

Fighting in built-up areas requires a greater ratio of attackers vis a vis defenders, as compared to battle in open country. The Russians’ strengths— their armour, their jet fighters, attack helicopters, are all seen at most effective in open country, particularly treeless steppe. In cities, the defenders have the edge.

This is only going to get worse. What might have been an easy, swift, and almost bloodless strategic coup by Russia has become a human and public relations disaster worldwide, and without —so far— a clear military victory upon which a political imposition can be superimposed.

Tweets seen

Never heard of him, but obviously yet another “vaccine” or “booster” victim. A wave of previously healthy, fit, people dying suddenly.

About as “true” as the supposed 1940-41 “mobile gas chambers”, which were allegedly deployed in Poland in order to gas individual Jews found wandering around! “Fake news” of an earlier era.

As previously noted, “in war, truth is the first casualty“…

Not that I “deny” that a maternity hospital was hit by a missile. I simply do not know.

“Hope not Hate”

Had a look at the latest ludicrously-named “State of Hate” report by the basically Jewish org called, or misnamed, “Hope not Hate”.

There is so little real social-nationalist activity now in the UK that “Hope not Hate” are reduced to writing about, mostly, marginal and almost pitiful figures such as Jayda Fransen, Anne-Marie Waters, “the little veteran” etc.

It must be hard for “HnH” to attract funding, even from the more paranoid Jew-Zionists, when there is so little around to “oppose”…

Kiev news

The latest news from Kiev (or, as the BBC and Sky now have it, “Keeev“):

A little less than 2 million people have currently left. However, Kyiv has been transformed into a fortress. Every street, every building, every checkpoint has been fortified.” [the Mayor of Kiev, on Ukrainian TV, reported by AFP].

So about half of the Kiev population has fled.

Reports now seem to indicate that Russian troops are advancing on Kiev proper from the outer suburbs and surrounding areas.

One can only feel sorry for the non-combatants left in Kiev, many of whom may be too elderly, infirm, or poor to leave. Also, for the companion animals they may have.

It may be that Kiev will now be taken by Russian forces. Perhaps within a few days.

I presume that the Jew Zelensky and his close cabal will be extracted by American special forces at some point. One can only hope that Zelensky does not leave Kiev totally in ruins.

If there is as much resistance as the Kiev regime is suggesting, the “Battle for Kiev” may be as historically significant as the battles for Madrid, Moscow, or even Stalingrad.

Now that food has largely run out in Kiev and some other cities, the end-game cannot be far off, surely.

A tragic episode in Europe’s history, but one that cannot now be curtailed before the end is reached.

[map: Daily Mail]
[map: Daily Mail]

More tweets

Every cloud has a silver lining…In fact, it occurs to me that this whole situation may be the chance for Russia to get rid of all the carpetbaggers and exploiters (mostly Jewish) that have been attached to its body for the past 30+ years. Bankers, financiers, loan organizations, lawyers, all sorts.

“Reparations”? That will put the cat among the pigeons.

“Racism” against Russians seems to be OK, just as it is when against any white Europeans. It’s only when it is against Jews or black/brown persons that it becomes “unacceptable”…

What a world…

Late tweets

Well, I know what I would like to do to them, and I daresay many feel the same way, but you cannot write it, or say it, unless you want some boring policeman, playing at being the poundland KGB, at your door.

He can escape back to his native Kenya now. What? Doesn’t want to? Get him OUT!

Their real colours are white and blue (forget the red), with a 6-pointed star in the middle.

Late music