Category Archives: elections

Diary Blog, 21 May 2025, with thoughts about GB News

Afternoon music

[Rembrandt, Man in Armour, believed to be a representation of the legendary Christian Rosenkreutz: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christian_Rosenkreuz]

GB News

I have been puzzling for some time regarding the ideology, if any, of GB News. Pseudo-nationalist, obviously largely “controlled opposition”, willing to help move the “Overton Window” re immigration, the failed “multicultural society”, immigration and migration invasion etc, yet painfully pro-Jewish lobby and pro-Israel.

GB News even allows the mendacious “Campaign Against Antisemitism” or “CAA” Jew-Zionists to spout their lies unopposed, as does the “does anyone actually watch?” Talk TV (now online only). Why? (especially since “Slitherman”, the chief spokesperson for the “CAA”, was exposed several years ago, in open court, as a serial online troll and harasser of others, mainly women).

So I was interested to see the following tweet from Matt Goodwin, former academic, who is now more or less a Reform UK propagandist and, more recently, also a GB News presenter and commentator:

That person, Paul Marshall, is not only extremely wealthy (apparently, £875M as of last year, so probably far more by now), but also the mainstay of GB News.

In the financial year 2022-2023, GB News reported a loss of no less than £42M, and would certainly have disappeared had not Paul Marshall invested £41M at that point.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Marshall_(investor)

So from where comes the pro-Jewish, pro-Israel bias of GB News? I happened to notice that the said Marshall is married to a Jewish woman [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Marshall_(investor)#Personal_life], of which Wikipedia says more on its page about Paul Marshall’s son, one Winston Marshall, of whom I had not previously heard, but who is apparently a successful folk-rock banjoist and guitarist: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winston_Marshall#Early_life_and_family.

It is impossible to say for sure, on facts known, whether that personal connection has influenced the editorial line of GB News; I should say, though, that it is more likely than not.

The above reminds me that several other UK-based news outlets are owned by Jewish, pro-Jewish or pro-Israel families or groups. LBC radio is another such: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Media_%26_Entertainment; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Media_%26_Entertainment#History; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ashley_Tabor-King.

Incidentally, the “does anyone actually watch?” Talk TV is owned, ultimately, by the aged pro-Israel cuckold, Rupert Murdoch.

More tweets seen

I would rather pay the expenses of the actual dog than those of the millions of metaphorical dogs.

A similar picture to all other recent opinion polls, though the Cons here are higher (the last opinion poll, from a different polling org, had them on only 16%).

Projection: Reform 345 MPs, and a substantial majority; Labour 131 MPs, LibDems 56, Cons 53, SNP 36 [etc]. https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.

On that basis, the Cons would be 4th-largest party in the Commons. Other recent predictions have had them as 5th-largest. Amazing, for a party which, only a year or two ago, was still at times spoken of as “the natural party of government” in the UK.

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Late tweets seen

828 of the bastards. In a single day— and it is not yet even summer, when the Channel is sometimes as calm as a millpond…

Stop them.

The fact is, Britain was on the wrong side…or should have at least declared neutrality.

Yes. I noticed the anti-white bias in a BBC News report by one Sarah Smith this evening.

Ah, just saw Wikipedia about her. Turns out she is the daughter of the now-deceased Labour Party leader John Smith, who might have and probably would have become PM had he lived longer [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sarah_Smith_(news_reporter)#Family].

Fact is, I was right, when halfwit Nelson Mandela took over in South Africa: I said then that South Africa would go the way of the rest of black-ruled sub-Saharan Africa (corrupt, violent, shambolic), but that SA would take longer to fall into the swamp because the proportion of whites in the population was far higher than had been the case in any other African country. At one time, it was as high as 22%; at present somewhere around 5%, probably:

Statistics South Africa asks people to describe themselves in the census in terms of five racial population groups.[167] The 2022 census figures for these groups were: Black African at 81%, Coloured at 8.2%, White at 7.3%, Indian or Asian at 2.7%, and Other/Unspecified at 0.5%.[9] The first census in 1911 showed that whites made up 22% of the population; this had declined to 16% by 1980.”

[Wikipedia]. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Africa#Demographics.

Proportion of whites in SA population: 7.3% in 2022. Now? Maybe 5%, maybe still 6%, but declining, as Europeans find living in a black-ruled (though not run) country impossible.

As witness the bleating of Guardian scribblers.

Yes, Goodwin— with you on all that, but don’t forget to mention that the Jew/Zionist/Israel lobby is the major anti-free-speech bloc in the UK, and works 24/7 to repress free speech and freedom of expression.

(Ha, some hope, looking at GB News and its ownership. Goodwin knows which side his bread is buttered on…).

I suppose I am wavering between dark red and light blue on that poll.

If Britain can find its way to real social nationalism, we could even go to dark blue, but at present, the dark red is certainly more likely.

She is as thick as two short planks.

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[Raphael, The School of Athens]

Diary Blog, 20 May 2025, including a few thoughts on the failure of Lucy Connolly’s appeal on sentence

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[painting by Volegov]

Lucy Connolly

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14730637/Tory-councillors-wife-social-media-rant-migrants-day-Southport-attack-loses-appeal-harsh-sentence.html

The heartbroken husband of Lucy Connolly who was jailed for posting an online rant over the Southport murders has condemned her appeal being dismissed today as ‘shocking and unfair’ – saying his wife is ‘not a right-wing thug’.

Ray Connolly said: ‘My wife Lucy is a good person and not a racist’, adding: ‘Lucy got more time in jail for one tweet than some paedophiles and domestic abusers get.’

Connolly, who is locked up at HMP Drake Hall, Staffordshire, had claimed to the Appeal Court last week that she had no idea what she was admitting to when she pleading guilty to a charge of inciting racial hatred.

In a written judgment, Lord Justice Holroyde, said: ‘There is no arguable basis on which it could be said that the sentence imposed by the judge was manifestly excessive.”

[Daily Mail]

Pity that the husband plays the System/msm game by adopting their language, though.

I had thought that the Court of Appeal would probably cut the sentence, allowing for the release of the appellant not immediately, but within a few weeks.

I admit I was mistaken. I had underestimated the pressure on the Court (however obliquely, so be it) from the evil Labour Friends of Israel government of Starmer-stein, Yvette Cooper, Rachel Reeves etc.

As for the ridiculous dictum of Holroyde L.J., quoted above, what can one say? Imagine a Lord Justice of Appeal thinking that a sentence of over 2.5 years for having posted a brief comment on social media is just about right… Ludicrous.

It is too late now, of course, but I think that Lucy Connolly should not have pleaded guilty in the first place.

Looking at the words she used in her social media comment, and at the construction of the sentences, it certainly would have been arguable that the words used, and in the way they were used, and in the context of where they were posted, did not in fact amount to incitement at all.

I think that Lucy Connolly could certainly have taken her chances before a jury, particularly if most of the jury had been echt-English. Also, even had she been convicted after a jury trial, the hysteria of the summer of 2024 would by then have abated, and the sentence would probably have been far less harsh, in my view.

This case and sentence were surely both nakedly political. The unfortunate lady has been used as a kind of scapegoat and example by Starmer-stein and fake Labour. The aim was wider than merely to discourage “rioters” (protesters) in the long hot summer of 2024; it was to discourage social media and other online dissent generally, and into the future.

Politically, though, Starmer-stein has misread the room (again). The Lucy Connolly case will backfire on him.

Exactly (that last point), but of course Lucy Connolly pleaded guilty at first instance (for whatever reason), and so this appeal has been on sentence alone.

In fact, the Crown case was never tested at trial, because the defendant pleaded guilty.

Exactly. Which is one reason why Lucy Connolly should have pleaded Not Guilty. She might then have had, even had she been convicted, a good arguable appeal point.

I have to say that, if her original solicitor advised a guilty plea on the basis that she had no defence, she was probably badly advised.

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Ha. That is a very topical way of putting it…

No-one now is going to vote Con Party, for several reasons. First of all because it is now led, if such is the bon mot, by a Nigerian woman who has in the past called British workers “idlers“, and who, though born in London (her parents having come to London precisely for that purpose, to get her a British passport), was brought up in the alien surroundings of Nigeria and the USA. She only came back to her place of birth aged 16 or 17.

One might add that she is one more System MP whose CV looks better from a distance than it does close-up [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kemi_Badenoch].

Secondly, the Conservative Party is partly, one might argue mainly, to blame for the terrible state the UK is in, and is going towards. 14 years of Con Party misgovernment. As I predicted, of course, the fake Labour government of Starmer-stein is as bad, or worse (many think worse), but that does not mean that many voters want to turn back the clock to 2010, 2015, 2017, or 2019.

The only people likely to vote Con now are elderly people who have always voted Con and who do not really keep up with events political or societal; those, and/or the affluent and wealthy who think that they would pay less tax under a Con government. Starmer-Labour, though, is almost indistinguishable from the Con Party in that respect.

There is a floor to Con Party support. I myself would estimate that floor as being somewhere around 15% but, having said that, if it were to look that the Cons had very little support and were therefore in perceivedly “wasted vote” territory, then even that floor might fall through.

On the basis of the latest opinion poll, the Commons might consist of 346 Reform members, 145 Labour, 73 LibDem, 39 SNP, and 17 Cons.

Matt Goodwin is therefore not right to say that the Conservative Party is now in 4th place. In terms of likely Commons seats, they are in 5th place; the 2% UK vote of the SNP is concentrated in Scottish seats, i.e. only about an eighth of all UK seats. You see the result predicted: SNP 39, Cons 17. Terminal for the Con Party…

Further to the case of Wilson v. Mendelsohn, Newbon (deceased), and Cantor

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So what about the Jewish/Zionist “5th column” in countries such as the UK, USA, France etc? Facilitators and defenders of war crimes.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patrick_O%27Flynn.

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[Yevgeny Lushpin, Twilight in the City, depicting an imaginary city scene, but it seems possibly based on one of the canals of St. Petersburg]

Diary Blog, 17 May 2025

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Saturday quiz

This week, the same score as political journalist John Rentoul— 5/10. I knew the answers to questions 2, 3, 5, 8, and 10.

Tweets seen

…and now the Israeli Jews, apparently backed by most Zionist Jews from other parts of the world, are, literally, deliberately starving to death the Arab Palestinians of Gaza, including the children. The same Jew-Zionists who are always whining about the alleged treatment of their ancestors by Germans (and Poles, and Ukrainians, and French etc) during WW2, a conflict which ended 80 years ago.

Interesting.

…thus proving that 64% of the UK population in 2020 were unthinking, panicked, deliberately-stampeded idiots.

Immigration, on the scale seen by the UK for half a century, impacts everything, and every other issue.

Migration invasion. Migration occupation. Utterly disastrous.

Incidentally, only people whose great-grandparents were born in the UK (or in northern Europe, and to properly-European parents) should be entitled to vote in elections here.

Ostalgie

[East Berlin, 1970s]

As blogged in the past, I found my couple of days in the southern part of the DDR (in 1988) quite interesting.

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Some things go beyond politics. The bond between human and cat passeth all understanding…

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[Rembrandt, Man in Armour]

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Diary Blog, 16 May 2025, including thoughts about Lucy Connolly, the migration invasion, and the ECHR

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In reality, even were it thought to be necessary (I say not) or appropriate to send that lady to prison for her arguably inflammatory words on social media, 3 months would have been enough, and more than enough, to send a message to her and others. She was sentenced, on 17 October 2025, to 31 months, of which 40%, or about 12 months, will be spent in prison.

If memory serves, Lucy Connolly spent over a month in prison on remand before sentencing (it will be recalled that “Tel Aviv Keith” Starmer-stein interfered with the handling of all those post-“riot” cases) , so that month or six weeks will be discounted anyway. On that basis, Lucy Connolly would have been released by some date in September 2025 anyway, even without having appealed on sentence (she could not have appealed the conviction as such, she having pleaded guilty).

As it is, at time of writing it appears that the Court of Appeal justices have reserved judgment.

I think that Katie Hopkins is right about the reasons for that; see

Of course, I do not agree with Katie Hopkins’ lauding (in her tweet video) of stupid pro-Jewish-lobby scribbler Allison Pearson and the hypocritical “Free Speech Union” of Toby Young (also completely under the spell of the worst parts of the Jewish/Israel lobby). I have blogged about all of that on previous occasions.

We should know by Monday whether Lucy Connolly will be released soon. I expect she will be, with or without some face-saving slight delay.

Of course, what makes the Lucy Connolly sentence egregiously harsh is not even the 31 months itself (very harsh though that was, especially on a —possibly misguided— guilty plea; a mother of young children with no previous convictions, wife of an unwell husband etc; and because her swiftly-deleted tweet in fact resulted in no actual real-world riotous effects); but also the societal background.

A cursory look at the newspapers will show endless cases of (real) violence, of theft (often considerable in quantum) etc, in which cases the defendants (usually with previous convictions) have been given non-custodial sentences, or immediate prison sentences but far shorter than that visited upon Lucy Connolly.

The perceived helplessness of Lucy Connolly (a childminder, with her own young children, and who cried during her court appearances) makes her treatment all the more infuriating. It is as if (?) she has been made a deliberately-chosen sacrificial victim.

That little twerp, Sebastian Payne, a failed Conservative Party candidate (he applied for several candidatures for Westminster seats during 2022-2024 but was never selected: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sebastian_Payne) evidently thinks that the Con Party still has a run in it, and that, if the Nigerian woman now “leading” it will pledge to leave the ECHR regime, the Con Party will rise again.

It is sad, in a way, that the Westminster Bubble people, such as Payne, seem to genuinely believe that the ECHR issue is, firstly, of huge importance, and secondly, that it resonates with the Average Joe voter.

Just taking the second point, the idea that the average voter really cares about the ECHR, whatever its effect on deportations etc, is ludicrous. Most people do not know what it is, and that will not change however often some black woman posing as “Conservative” leader pushes it on TV.

Why is GB News even allowing that woman to spout rubbish, and why do they allow her to describe herself as “Dr” and so to pose as some kind of “expert”?

Helen Webberly and her husband, a struck-off medic, founded the misleadingly-named “GenderGP” in 2015 in Singapore: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GenderGP. A fraudulent and money-making entity.

Helen Webberley was suspended from practice by the GMC in the UK. Her husband, a retired gastroenterologist (i.e. not a specialist in the “trans”/sex/”gender” field) took over the business (for such it is), but was himself then suspended from practice, later being struck off the medical register.

Though Helen Webberley’s suspension from practice was lifted in 2023, her licence to practise was revoked in 2024.

I have always been wary of medics who prefer to be politicians, political activists etc (a few examples being Armand Hammer, Hastings Banda, Papa Doc Duvalier, David Owen, Che Guevara, Radovan Karadzic, Bashar al-Assad), and the same goes for medics who become money-grasping quasi-medical “activists” and business chancers (cf. Julia Grace Patterson, the British “Covid” fanatic, pseudo-champion of the NHS, and facemask seller).

See also: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-13296149/Cowboy-clinic-puberty-blockers-Singapore-based.html.

See also: https://www.thetimes.com/uk/healthcare/article/profile-gendergp-founders-chased-bailiffs-moving-abroad-dcj9gh5qw; and https://www.abergavennychronicle.com/news/gender-doctor-loses-license-to-practise-708506.

Same basic story as in all other recent opinion polls: Reform UK easily top, and well ahead of fake Labour; Conservative Party trailing a very poor third, only just ahead of the LibDems.

The numbers shown would result in Reform 347 MPs, Lab 143, LibDems 64, SNP 38, Cons 28 (i.e. only the fifth-largest party in the Commons): see https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.

For “Europe’s ruling classes“, you should read “NWO/ZOG”— New World Order and Zionist Occupation Government.

Diary Blog, 14 May 2025

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Stray thought

I was looking yesterday at a blog post I published about 4 years ago, I think in 2021, and in which I said something like “…and, somewhat to my surprise, Keir Starmer seems to be utterly clueless.” Well, was I right or wrong?

Tweets seen

As I have often said, the UK is now about 20% non-white; England certainly is. The Labour vote is now largely a non-white vote (together with a vote by public service workers, esp. NHS). Almost all non-whites vote Labour if they vote at all.

Using Electoral Calculus, the numbers suggest a Commons with no less than 300 Reform MPs, 188 Labour, 62 LibDem, 44 Con (26 SNP, etc).

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html

“Diverse” Britain

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/london-old-bailey-dagenham-ring-cctv-b1227556.html

“‘Terrified’ widower killed when teens torched house with firework, court told

Nathan Otitodilchukwu, 18, and a 16-year-old boy who cannot be named, threatened to “torch” the pensioner before punching a hole in his window and pushing a firework into his home, the Old Bailey heard.

They have both admitted to his manslaughter.

[Evening Standard]

More “diversity”

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/victoria-mark-gordon-the-old-bailey-south-downs-greater-manchester-police-b1227491.html

See also:

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Depending on a number of variables, that might mean a Commons with 375 Reform MPs, and so a very large (50-60) real majority; 121 Lab MPs; 62 LibDems; 38 SNP; 25 Con MPs.

Historical note— Rhodesia

The following 18-minute exposition was sent in by a regular reader of the blog. Well worth watching:

Late tweets

Diary Blog, 13 May 2025

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Tweets seen

The Overton Window is moving at last…

Anything from any Indians, Pakistanis, or other non-whites on this issue can be disregarded as biased and/or with an agenda.

In effect, though, the UKIP of 2014 is still around, having passed through two further incarnations— Brexit Party and now Reform UK.

As to the LibDems, their facade is still standing, thanks to the LibDems being the default non-Lab/non-Con alternative-choice or dustbin party, but as a party putting forward real ideas, they are almost a nullity.

In the end, only a real social-national party can deal with the problem. Reform, for me, is just an underwhelming way-station.

That polling may be accurate but, if it is, leaves out the important voting effects. Hardly anyone of or above State Pension age supports the “confiscation” of universal Winter Fuel Payment; very few aged 55+ support the “confiscation”. Most of those supporting Starmer-stein and Rachel Reeves in this will be under 40, perhaps even under 30.

The WFP “confiscation” will have electoral repercussions right through the present Parliament and on to the next general election. One of several factors which have already sunk fake Labour.

Were I to publish on the blog what I think should be done with evil “immigrants welcome” (“invaders welcome”) expenses cheat Yvette Cooper, I should probably have to endure the nuisance and boredom of the UK’s poundshop Stasi police at my door (yet again)…

[Yvette Cooper welcoming the invaders trashing our country. In non-legalistic lay terms, meaning in simple language, this is treason]

Like most of Starmer-stein’s Cabinet, Yvette Cooper is a member of Labour Friends of Israel.

Moscow must be (?) becoming more convenient than I remember…

Last time I was there was 18 years ago, in 2007.

As frequently noted on the blog, though, immigration on such a huge scale impacts all other issues— housing, NHS, crime, tax, economy, environment, water supply, State pensions and other benefits etc.

The next general election may not be until 2029, so much ground to cover before then, but those numbers would result in a House of Commons with 310 Reform MPs (on the cusp of a working majority), 169 Lab, 72 LibDem, 36 SNP, 33 Cons (etc).

The Conservative Party, as in another poll yesterday, relegated to a pretty poor 5th place in the Commons. Among the 94 Con MPs likely to be ejected would be Mel Stride, James Cleverly, Suella Braverman, Jeremy Hunt, David Davis, Jesse Norman, Robert Jenrick, Rishi Sunak and, last but not least, Kemi Badenoch.

That would pretty much finish the Con Party.

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html

The opinion polls now commonly have Reform not only as top party preference, but also top by some distance from Labour and the rest.

Bracknell. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bracknell.

I was last there in 1974, I think, aged maybe 17. Having dropped out of school [https://rbcs.org.uk/], I worked for a while as temp dogsbody for an agency that sent me to various places short of workers. The one in Bracknell was at the Waitrose warehouse (next to Waitrose HQ). I was there for a couple of weeks. I used to go there daily from Caversham Heights (north-west of Reading) on my 75 cc Italian scooter (absolute top speed 60 mph, normal top speed 50).

I remember the brief experience mainly because, one fine day, two Thames Valley Police detectives from Reading wanted to interview me in the office. They did so, and fingerprinted me. Apparently, the other agency workers, who all arrived and departed by minibus, had already been interviewed. I was told that quite a lot of Waitrose canned products had gone missing.

Well, it turned out that all the agency workers except me had been “having it away” with Waitrose’s stuff. I was cleared almost immediately, I think mainly by the absence of fingerprint evidence against me, but all the others were, I was told, charged with theft. I had had no idea that they were “having it away” with tins of salmon or whatever. Naive me.

Not that I was necessarily more honest than the others (who were all much older than me, in their thirties or forties); I just had no use for whatever Waitrose products they had apparently been stealing.

Bracknell was very different then, I think, and smaller; the same is true of my old school at Sonning, looking now at its website. Pretty much only the original old house (Holme Park house) is the same; a whole large complex is now around it. New facilities, new buildings, even a new road system:

[Reading Blue Coat School, Sonning, Berkshire]

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400 of the bastards! In a single morning!

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-14700843/DAN-HODGES-biggest-problem-PM-doesnt-want-stop-boats.html

Hard-hitting critique of Starmer-stein. In my view, though, not hard-hitting enough.

Starmer-stein is of course, and in ordinary language, a traitor.

Comforting, in a way, that only 20% of the population is irredeemably stupid (or malicious?).

The government of “Ukraine” (the Kiev-regime fake state) is a brutal and corrupt dictatorship, ruled mainly by Jew-Zionists.

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[The Banksters, controversial mural in East London, later censored (painted over by order) after complaints from Jewish organizations that it was “antisemitic”]

Diary Blog, 9 May 2025

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[Hampshire]

Talking point

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025/may/09/sadiq-khan-to-announce-plans-to-build-houses-on-london-green-belt

Sadiq Khan is announcing plans to build on parts of London’s green belt, in a dramatic shift in housing policy aimed at tackling “the most profound housing crisis in the capital’s history”.

In a major speech on Friday, the mayor of London is expected to say the scale of the challenge, which could need about 1m new homes built in the next decade, requires a break from longstanding taboos.

It marks the first time city hall will support the strategic release of low-quality or inaccessible green belt land near transport links in order to provide hundreds of thousands of new affordable homes.”

[Guardian]

Very sad. Apart from that, when they talk about “low-quality or inaccessible land“, what “low-quality” means in this context is simply land on the edge of built-up areas, which may not always be very scenic (but could be, with political will to improve it). “Inaccessible land” is still better than the same land being built on, and its very inaccessibility provides a haven and sanctuary for animals, birds, insects etc.

This is what happens when a country is invaded by a million migrant-invaders per year (legal or illegal)— pressure on land, transport, public services etc increases, housing becomes unaffordable, and life becomes stressed and unpleasant. Look around. The evidence is all around you.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan

Talking point

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/may/09/more-than-a-third-of-uk-agricultural-soil-degraded-by-intensive-farming-report

European and British soils seriously degraded by intensive farming.

Experts found 60% of the EU’s agricultural soils had been degraded, with about 40% similarly damaged in the UK.

More than 60% of the EU’s agricultural soils are degraded due to intensive agriculture, with similar damage to about 40% of British soils, a report has found.”

[Guardian]

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Disgusting pair. I hope that the sentencing judge passes a suitably condign sentence. I hope that I do not read “Sycamore Gap vandals escape prison“. This was a horrible and destructive crime, an act of evil; there was also huge economic damage to the surrounding region (I have seen figures estimating damage of up to £1M).

Just a tree? So tie them to a tree for a few weeks, or months (in winter).

I don’t care whether migrant-invaders are legal or illegal, or whether or not they break UK laws while battening upon us. I just want them all gone.

Yet another opinion poll placing Reform UK in government, potentially. According to Electoral Calculus, a Commons with 314 Reform UK MPs, 168 Labour MPs, 63 LibDems, 39 Cons, 36 SNP (etc). Reform 12 short of an absolute majority, but on the cusp of a working one.

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html

[“Let’s put emotions aside for a moment. The United States .. like any sovereign nation .. has every right to reclaim its independence, pursue its national interest, and break free from parasitic entanglements that have long drained its dignity and resources. What we are witnessing today may be the first real attempt in decades by parts of the American establishment to free themselves from the stranglehold of the Zionist lobby. But here’s the irony: the very idea that America might make decisions based on its own interests has sent Israeli officials into a frenzy. Why? Because for decades, they’ve treated the U.S. not as an ally, but as a tool .. a weaponized servant to carry out their ambitions, silence their critics, and whitewash their crimes. And now, as the leash begins to loosen, their panic grows louder. Let’s be clear: This isn’t a battle between good and evil. It’s a clash between Racial superiority and religious superiority One seeking global domination through lies, manipulation, and media .. driven illusions , Blackmailing , assassination The other aiming to reassert global control through , brute force, and economic imperialism We now stand at a crossroads for America: Either the United States, through Trump, succeeds in imposing a model of sovereign imperialism based on American supremacy… Or Israel unleashes its old playbook .. media manipulation, financial pressure, political chaos .. to manufacture another storm, just as it did when JFK tried to challenge their influence and paid for it with his life.“]

It’s a mad mad mad mad world…

Americans call such behaviour a “chimp-out”, I believe.

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Interesting. Plaid is of course not truly “national” or “nationalist”, but more akin to the SNP in Scotland. Its basic premise, that Wales should be an independent state, is of course ludicrous, especially but not solely from the economic point of view.

Having said that, I can see why Welsh voters in Wales are going for Plaid (the apparent tautology is in fact not so, because a great number of voters in Wales are not Welsh, being either non-European —non-white— or English, mostly the latter; there are a few other small groups as well).

I think that Plaid is making hay because the main System parties, Lab and Con, are perceived as both hopeless and not “local” (to Wales). That was not always so (in relation to Labour) but I think it probably is so now.

As for Reform’s upsurge in Wales, it follows the rise in support for Reform in England and even in Scotland.

In Scotland, Reform is rising up, but another consequence of the drastic fall in support for both Con and Lab is that the SNP may survive, however unmeritedly, and may be able to increase its Westminster representation from its present 9 MPs (out of 57 Scottish seats) to something like 30; not quite the 56 out of 59 it had in 2015, nor even the 48 out of 59 it had in 2019, but still respectable, and a plurality of the 57 Scottish seats that now exist.

Put another way, people across the UK are binning Con and Lab, and I do not see that changing.

The YouGov poll is about the Senedd (Welsh Assembly) elections, not Westminster voting intentions, but must have relevance to the next general election.

“Diversity”…

https://www.hamhigh.co.uk/news/25090957.wapping-conmans-8-5-million-scam-funded-19-supercars/

More “diversity”…

https://www.hamhigh.co.uk/news/25149347.notting-hill-carnival-zombie-knife-attack-teen-convicted/

Late tweets

One of the best polling results yet for Reform.

Running that through Electoral Calculus (notionally putting LibDems at 15% and Greens at 10%): Reform 375 MPs; Labour 121; LibDems 62; SNP 38; Cons 25. A Reform government with a very large majority of 49 (working majority of about 59).

I keep seeing Labourite and Con Twitter-twits’ tweets saying “still 4 years to go“, as if the main System parties will somehow regain public trust before 2029. Are they serious?!

Late music

Diary Blog, 8 May 2025

A few thoughts out of season

I read a couple of pieces in the online-only Independent newspaper and its connected Indy100 site. Semi-literate, semi-educated. Examples? In the Independent, in an interview with the ex-MP, Mike Amesbury, Amesbury described the three days he recently spent in prison as “…surreal…like an out-of-body experience“, which the Independent‘s scribbler, one Ellie Crabbe, wrote down as “an outer body experience“. No sub-editor (if they even have any) corrected Ms. Crabbe’s egregious mistake. Appalling ignorance. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/reform-labour-amesbury-runcorn-chancellor-b2745519.html.

Meanwhile, in the Indy100, one Harriet Brewis, described as “ the Chief Reporter at indy100, covering everything from scientific discoveries to online trends. She previously worked on the Evening Standard’s news desk, heading up the coronavirus blog throughout 2020 and writing the website’s leading stories“, writes that a lake in California has returned after long absence, the water having been extracted by “the greed of colonialists“! Ha ha… Is this an English news outlet, or a Cuban one?

The water extraction was in the USA of the late 19thC, as the article does say, so “colonialists” is a bit anachronistic, arguably, and not really accurate anyway, however bad the treatment of the local Indians/Native Americans may have been.

I might add that that report was published somewhere else a year or two ago. I recall reading it, or some version of it.

Ah, I see now that it was first published a year ago. Well, OK, and it is quite interesting, but do subscribers (I am not one) pay to read stuff recycled from over a year ago? https://www.indy100.com/science-tech/tulare-lake-2024-2671911762.

Standards in all areas are, overall and collectively, dropping like a stone, as I noticed and/or predicted many many years ago, in the 1990s.

Talking point— the decline of the Conservative Party

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/may/07/massive-earthquake-in-politics-could-lead-to-tory-extinction-says-hunt

Former chancellor Jeremy Hunt has said the Conservatives cannot rule out becoming extinct because of a “massive earthquake” in politics that is seeing the fracturing of the old two-party system.

Senior Conservatives are increasingly alarmed about polls that show support for the party plummeting, while Reform UK is soaring.

Some Conservative party sources said there appeared to be “very little dynamism” within Conservative Campaign Headquarters about trying to turn the party’s electoral fortunes around, while many local activists and some agents have already made the leap to supporting Reform.

On Wednesday morning, a YouGov Westminster voting intention poll put Reform on 29%, Labour on 22%, the Conservatives on 17%, the Liberal Democrats 16%, and the Greens 10% – suggesting the Tories are now flirting with fourth place in popularity.

[Guardian]

In fact, the Conservative Party may well soon be in fifth place in terms of numbers of Commons seats (after Reform, Labour, LibDems, and the SNP).

Talking point— the decline of the Labour Party

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/may/07/disability-benefit-cuts-to-hit-700000-families-already-in-poverty-dwp-forecasts-show

The government’s planned disability benefit cuts will hit 700,000 families who are already in poverty, according to internal Department for Work and Pensions forecasts obtained by the Guardian.

The figures, sourced under the Freedom of Information Act, are in addition to the projected 250,000 people who will be newly driven below the poverty line by the cuts, as set out by the government’s impact assessment in March.

Disability rights campaigners called the new disclosure “truly shocking” and said the changes would push people even further away from having the means to find work.

The DWP estimates that 3.2 million families across Great Britain will lose out under the plans in 2029/2030, about three years after the cuts are due to take effect. Of those, 700,000 will be families already categorised as being in relative poverty, when taking housing costs into account.

[Guardian]

So that is some of the human and social cost of the policies of Starmer-stein, Rachel Reeves, and Liz Kendall (all members, incidentally, of Labour Friends of Israel). What, however of the political cost to Labour?

We see Labour already languishing in the opinion polls below 25%, in some at only 22%. I have already blogged about the fact that the UK population now has about 20% of its population non-white, and that those voters (those eligible and actually voting) probably now provide the vast bulk of Labour votes.

Since Starmer-stein lied his way to the office of Prime Minister in July 2024, his misgovernment has alienated the “average white families”, those above State Pension age, those approaching State Pension age, almost all British workers at or below average incomes, anyone concerned about the racial and cultural degradation of the country, anyone concerned about developers trashing the green countryside, and anyone at all concerned about the migration-invasion of between half a million and a million immigrants and/or invaders every single year.

Now, in addition to the above, Starmer-stein’s regime is about to hit not only the various types of disabled person, but also their families and others. The biggest hit will come in 2028 and 2029, just when the next general election is probably going to be held.

[“But I voted Labour last time! Never again!“]

The result of all of that is that Labour will quite likely have (a trend forecast on the blog quite a while ago, a few years ago) votes mainly from (some of) the “blacks and browns”, and (some of) the public service workers, including (some of) the NHS workforce. Even the 18-24 demographic generally is turning away from Labour.

The electoral result may be that Labour can only score 22%, maybe only 20%, at the next general election. The Conservative Party, on present showing, may not even achieve that. The LibDems are the default “alternative” or “dustbin party”, so will pick up votes from both, but mainly from disaffected Con voters; perhaps 15% or so overall. Greens and several others will take (combined) about 10%-15% of votes. That leaves maybe 30% of the whole available for Reform.

Nature abhors a vacuum. If Reform gets to 30%, with Con and Lab both in the 20%-25% range, the earthquake will have happened. Reform will be in government with a 30 or even 50-seat majority, Labour may have fewer than 140 MPs, and the Con Party may slump to as few as 25.

Once the main System parties are displaced, the only real alternative to Reform, after 2029, will be real social nationalism.

Tweets seen

So less money for the Treasury (which means it will have to be found from elsewhere), and more unwanted immigrants coming to the UK (and don’t believe the nonsense about “short-term working” etc…).

The Starmer-stein and Rachel Reeves fake “Labour” government is a disaster in every way.

Under the surface, its attitude is probably unchanged. Snoopers.

As blogged previously Matt Goodwin may be a Father Gapon for our times…

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgy_Gapon#Bloody_Sunday

The above nonsense is only part of huge wastage. The “Covid” scamdemic/panicdemic “Test and Trace” programme alone was 4x worse. About £38 billion. I favour government spending, in principle, but the devil is in the detail. The kind of idiots who get into System politics in the UK are simply not capable of running anything properly, or of making the right decisions.

Mason has been examined previously on the blog. A System asset of some kind or other, but one who, for whatever reason, likes to be thought of as radical or even revolutionary. He always supports police-state measures; he did it during the “Covid” scamdemic/panicdemic, he did so when the BNP was rising up, he even did so when UKIP looked like becoming a major party. He certainly did so in relation to Greece, when the popular Golden Dawn social-national party was repressed by the fake “Left” or “socialist” party, Syriza, when the latter was in power. Syriza quickly sold out to international banking and the EU. The Golden Dawn people, many of them, still sit in prison.

There is something deeply unpleasant about Paul Mason. Deeply suspicious, too. Look at his Twitter/X timeline over the past few days. Incidentally, he is part-Jew: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Mason_(journalist)#Early_life_and_education.

What interests me more, though, is the revolution after the revolution…

Late tweets

Electoral Calculus suggests that those numbers would result in a Commons in which Reform would have 421 seats out of 650. Labour would have 92, the LibDems 56, the SNP 43, and the Cons only 8. Eight MPs… Surely terminal for the Conservative Party. https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.

Diary Blog, 7 May 2025

Morning music

[Nymphenburg, Bavaria]

Tweets seen

That ghastly little “Conservative” (?) scribbler and talking head, Harwood, really deserves some bad luck to come his way. Pro-Israel, pro-globalist finance-capitalism, in favour of cuts to public services and social security, in favour of unrestricted housing development. A System puppet, retailing “controlled opposition” rubbish.

[“48% of Britons say that immigration is one of the top issues facing the country, the joint-highest level since the election Economy: 52% (-2 from 26-28 Apr) Immigration: 48% (+4) Health: 36% (-1) Crime: 22% (-1) Defence: 20% (-2) Housing: 20% (=) Environment: 15% (-2) Tax: 14% (-1) Europe: 13% (+2) Welfare: 13% (+2).”]

Maybe the British people are at last beginning to wake up.

Defend? Against what? There is a concerted attempt to push for war with Russia, which would be both mad and pointless, Russia having no interest at all in invading central or western parts of Europe.

Ukraine was always part of Russia; as for the Baltic States or pribaltika, while I respect their rights to self-determination and their own cultures, that respect would not outweigh the right of the UK, France, and Germany etc not to get into a nuclear conflict with Russia over that small part of Northern Europe. In fact, the only reason Russia is now overshadowing the three Baltic states is because they have joined NATO. The same is true of Finland.

Present-day Russia is not like the old Soviet Union. It does not have the expansionist drive that came out of Marxist-Leninist ideology. It is also far less efficient in terms of military power (and secret intelligence etc).

European culture and civilization is threatened not by that fantasy “Russian invasion” but by migration-invasion from backward parts of the world, and I see very few and very weak attempts being made even to slow it, let alone stop it.

“Boris” Johnson— part-Jew and pro-Israel, pro-Jewish lobby, and a Conservative Friends of Israel member; Starmer-stein likewise— pro-Israel, pro-Jewish lobby, not himself Jewish (as far as is known) but with a Jewish wife, and with children being brought up as if fully-Jewish, Starmer being a member of Labour Friends of Israel.

Join the dots. Both Starmer-stein and “Boris” Johnson were fanatically in favour of the police-state measures brought in under cover of the “Covid” scamdemic/panicdemic, both funneled British taxpayers’ monies to “Ukraine” (the mainly Jewish regime in Kiev), and both encouraged and still encourage mass immigration into Britain, while having English/British dissidents and protesters arrested. Both also want to allow (((developers))) to build on what is left of the “green and pleasant land”.

As I say, just join the dots.

Once again, we see where that Harwood bastard is coming from. For him, British politics and society is all about the (((money))). Same goes for GB News generally (and, even worse, the “no-one watches” Talk TV).

Interesting that Harwood and GB News, supposedly small-c “conservative”, now start to defend Starmer-stein, i.e. now that his fake Labour (((government))) is collapsing amid public hatred of it and him.

Tweeter “@benonwine” should consider what percentage of the UK population is now non-European (non-white). About 20%. Not all of that bloc vote, and not all of that bloc who vote, vote Labour, but most do. Question more or less answered.

As to Goodwin’s tweet and YouGov’s polling, according to Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html], those numbers would be enough to give Reform about 345 MPs, and a goodly-sized Commons majority (19, but in practical terms about 30 or 40. Other significant parties: 143 Labour MPs, 71 LibDems, SNP 38, Cons 23.

On that basis, the once-great Conservative Party would be reduced to a very small rump of 23 MPs, and would be a very poor fifth party in the Commons, after Reform, Labour, LibDems, and the SNP. It would be the end of the Conservative Party, bar the shouting about the whys and wherefores.

Sending Kemi Badenoch back to Nigeria at once, or at least sacking her (asap), might save some of the present Con Party MPs, but not most, I think. The tipping point may already have been reached. Every time I see the woman on TV, I think, “can anyone really see that as a Prime Minister?“.

Talking point

I missed this when it was published last year; it is very good, very true (both posts):

More tweets seen

Certainly, I have found that to be true. Many who have tried to attack me over the course of my life (I am now 68) have hit hard times, and some (quite a few) have died. Not exactly The Consolation of Philosophy, but rather heartwarming nonetheless…

Someone is about to have a bad day…

Not so sure about that last comment from “@elias_baa”…

Surprising, yet not so surprising. Labour has done rather little for the people of Scotland in the past several decades. The SNP is only supported by, at most, half of the electorate. Reform may be the banner to which anti-SNP voters will flock.

I think I had not previously heard of that one. Rosie Wrighting. 27 years old. Sounds like a total bimbo. Selected/elected as MP aged 26. Had a job with ASOS for what seems to have been months not years. Never done anything else. Studied (Mickey Mouse “degree”?) fashion, we are told…

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rosie_Wrighting

This country is so screwed…

Looking at the 2024 result at Kettering [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kettering_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s], I think that Ms. Wrighting will fairly soon be looking for another job.

The present “elected” dictatorship in the UK is evil.

Aux armes, citoyens“…

Late music

[Victor Ostrovsky, Rendezvous]

Diary Blog, 5 May 2025

Morning music

[El Escorial, Spain]

Tweets seen

Hundreds of replies to Starmer-stein’s tweet, but few if any positive. He is a disaster. His Labour Friends of Israel misgovernment is a disaster.

Incredibly, even after Sunak, Truss, Johnson, May, and Cameron-Levita, that is true.

Cut off the supply of arms, ammunition, and money to the Kiev regime. It will then collapse very quickly, within weeks.

On its own, the Kiev regime fails and falls. It needs NATO to come in on its side. Thankfully, that will probably not now happen, thus saving Europe from another historic round of devastation.

Absolutely mad. The people of the EU states will thus become poorer without having achieved anything in return for that sacrifice.

The people of England want to stamp “the old parties” (as Mosley termed them ) into the ground. Conservative Party. Labour Party.

Reform UK is disliked by many, and many (including me) find its policies inadequate, but it is the only game in town right now, and can pave the way for a real social national party later.

Thinking ahead, if/when Reform is in a position of power, perhaps after 2029, and if Reform itself then fails, the moment for social nationalism will have finally arrived.

[“It occurs to me that Reform’s success may well accelerate a day of reckoning in the UK. The cynic in me feels the mass immigration that’s happened, has placed a sleeping army throughout the country, it doesn’t need to act yet, but once it’s deemed that the British people are finally pushing back, that day of reckoning may well happen because it’s clear now that Reform are a credible force to gain power and that will conflict with everything that’s been planned by those facilitating the immigration.“]

Facilitated by those, or some of those, who live, and profit, in the USA, Canada, UK, Australia, France and other countries.

Meanwhile, “the usual suspects” wail about supposed defaults or crimes committed (or not committed, or not committed on the scale they claim) in Germany, Poland and elsewhere in the late 1930s and early 1940s, and more than 80 years ago.

Jews in the UK supporting migrant-invaders

https://www.jewishnews.co.uk/community-is-a-superpower-jewish-communities-urged-to-champion-refugee-support/

No comment (and none required).

More tweets seen

Britain in 2025

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/may/05/macmillan-cancer-support-charity-specialist-benefits-advice-services

Macmillan Cancer Support is to scrap its £14m-a-year specialist advice service, which helps tens of thousands of people every year, in what has been described as a betrayal of vulnerable patients.

The cuts were received with shock and anger by welfare advisers, who said the depth and expertise of the service were irreplaceable, while the timing – before the government’s £5bn cuts to disability benefits, which are the single biggest focus of Macmillan-funded welfare support – could not be worse for cancer patients.

“I just don’t understand why they are getting rid of a service that so many thousands of people rely on, while at the same time, hiring senior people on large salaries.

“I get why cuts may have to be made, the climate we are in, but I don’t understand why the welfare advisers are the ones to be cut, why the frontline has to be cut, when there are so many senior people sat in offices discussing strategy and in meetings all day.”

[Guardian]

Late tweets

[“My monologue on today’s The Times at One with Andrew Neil. More at 1pm tomorrow on @TimesRadio.

Eighty years on from the end of the Second World War in Europe and we’re at a watershed in British politics — one of these historic turning points which up-ends politics and radically reconfigures the two-party system as we’ve known it.

Two parties have long been the bedrock of British politics. Conservative versus Whig in the early part of the 19th century.  Conservative versus Liberal from the mid-1850s onwards.  Conservative versus Labour from the 1920s onwards, especially since the end of the war in 1945. 

You will have noticed that, as Whig gave way to Liberal and Liberal to Labour, Conservative remained a consistent presence.  Which is what makes this latest rearranging of the two-party deck chairs unique  — for the first time in 200 years it looks as if the Conservatives are going to be the victims of a radical realignment in British politics. 

Of course we’re really talking England here rather than Britain. The two-party system has been dead for decades in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. You could say England is only now catching up with the rest of the country.  And transition can be messy.

After last year’s general election and last week’s local elections, England has gone from a largely two-party system to a five-party system.  Our first-past-the-post voting system produces a clear winner when only two parties are vying for power. But when our votes are spread generously across five parties, the outcome can be unpredictable and haphazard.  Not only will no one party have an overall majority. No party will have anything close to it. So even coalition building becomes problematic. And that carries the risk of becoming ungovernable. 

The catalyst in all this, of course, is Nigel Farage’s insurgent Reform party. It takes disillusioned votes from Labour and Conservative alike. After last year’s general election it is second in 89 Labour seats. And after last week’s elections a majority of these Labour seats are now vulnerable.  But whereas Reform is on track to beat Labour it is on track to replace the Conservatives, which is why the Conservatives have most to lose.  Even traditional Tories now talk privately about the need to have some sort of accommodation with Reform. That could be wishful thinking. 

If Reform heads towards around a 30% share of the vote in the polls — it won a bit more than that in actual votes last week — then the Tories will be languishing in the late teens. And far from securing a friendly merger with Reform — would more likely face a hostile takeover. 

However the chips eventually fall, the Tory-Labour two-party system would seem to be on its last legs. It’s had a good innings but now looks knackered.  Last week showed the Tories have claimed back no ground since their thrashing last July. Indeed they might be losing more. It also confirmed that Labour and its leader Keir Starmer have fallen further and faster in public approval since that landslide victory than any new government in living memory. 

The two-party system which gave Labour and Tory alternate turns at power is now widely derided for having delivered a stagnant economy, squeezed living standards, uncontrolled mass migration, broken public services, a remote woke establishment and unbridled net zero zealotry. 

Voters might not be sure what they want. But they know what they don’t want, which is more of the  same. Which is what propels Reform and the closer it gets to that crucial 30% of the vote the more it will upend politics as we’ve known it.  For it’s at around 30% that a ton of seats start falling Reform’s way. Not enough to give it an overall majority. Not enough to give Farage the keys to 10 Downing Street.  But enough to be the largest party. Enough to have a veto on who forms a government. Enough to make Farage, always underestimated by the political and media establishment, if not king then the kingmaker.“]

[Andrew Neil]

Late talking point

1629? I should have thought that 1829 was more accurate. Never mind.

Late music